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Homosexuality and economics

Bert Chapman, Government Information and Political Science Librarian at Purdue University, offers his Economic Case against Homosexuality. His argument is that, leaving aside Biblical passages, homosexuality costs more than we can tolerate.

I distinguish between acceptance and tolerance.  Acceptance of a thing means I consider it a good thing, and wish there were more of it.  For example, cheap energy.  Tolerance of a thing, on the other hand, means I consider the thing less than optimal, and indeed, harmful. It's not a good thing.  Good things don't have to be tolerated -- they get accepted.  Tolerance recognizes a balancing act -- how much of a bad thing can we tolerate in our lives, or in society.  It would be nice, for example, if people ate only healthy food and maintained an ideal weight. But we tolerate a certain amount of unhealthy eating, because the alternative -- government food police -- would be worse.

Chapman's premises are that AIDS costs us an inordinate amount of money and other resources, and that benefits made available to same-sex partners will raise the cost of these benefits for married couples.  (He spends a paragraph on prison rape, but I don't know anyone who is in favor of rape.)

AIDS is expensive.  It's probably more expensive now than it was when it was an automatic death sentence.  We have treatments that will extend life, but that means any treatments will be administered for decades instead of months.  Here, the ways we can reduce the cost of treatment are make the treatment less expensive, or stop treating.  The second choice is not one we're willing to make as a society, so we're kind of stuck doing research. 

We could also focus more on prevention, but the populations that have the highest incidences of AIDS -- gay men and IV drug users -- may not approve of some of the steps that could be taken.  IV drug use is already illegal, so I'm not sure if legal sanction for homosexuality would affect anything.  Indeed, jailing gay men would simply turn the problem into a prison rape problem.  (By definition, all sex in prison is rape, since it's all illegal.)  However, should we take a look at the prevalence of "bare-back" parties and groups that cater to people who are actually trying to get infected? 

We could treat AIDS like other STDs and enforce mandatory reporting and contact tracing.  And indeed, maybe we should.  I don't know if quarantines should be enforced against AIDS patients or those who are HIV positive, but if the argument is made that AIDS is an equal opportunity killer and could affect anyone, maybe that justifies stern steps.

As for the issue of benefits and insurance costs, that's more of a complaint about socialistic regulations than about homosexuality.  If insurance companies were allowed to distinguish (so far, a more acceptable word than "discriminate") between same-sex partnerships and married couples, they could adjust the cost of the premiums to reflect observed differences in risk.  If it turned out same-sex partnerships had lower risks than married couples, they would have lower premiums.  (And no one would complain.)  If this sort of distinction is forbidden, then the effect is that the lower-risk population subsidizes the higher-risk population.  If same-sex partnerships have lower risks than married couples, their premiums, being higher than their level of risk calls for, represent some amount of money going to subsidize the higher risks for married couples.

As it stands, gay rights activists object to the notion of allowing insurance companies to make these distinctions and adjust premiums accordingly.  A cynic might suggest it's because they know what side of the risk differential they're on.

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Brinks

Jesse Norman has a post on the racism in the commercials for Brinks.  Where are the black criminals?  Where are the black vitims?  (Maybe they can't afford an alarm company?)  Where are the minorities?
 
And of course, do real burglars run for the hills because a home alarm goes off?  The way they would from, say, a pit bull?
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Congratulations in order

It was a hard-fought election, filled with many frustrating twists and turns, but in the end, John McCain has conceded and Barack Obama has accepted victory. We have a new president.

I worry about the "tests" that are promised for our new president, and whether he'll be up to them. For now, I can only pray the Gods will grant him the wisdom he needs to succeed, and guide him in the path he must follow to protect our nation, by the nose, kicking and screaming if need be.

But for now, there is one bright side I wish to mention.

The race card is dead.

From this day forward, neither I nor anyone else need ever hear blacks laying the blame for their lot in life at the feet of white racism, or a racist system, or oppression by The Man. Ever.

The race card is deceased, defunct, and departed.

There is far more, now, of the grave than the gravy train about it.

It is room temperature, metabolically challenged, and taking the great dirt nap.

It is not sleeping, stunned, or pining for the fjords.

It is an ex-card.

It has shuffled off the mortal coil, given up the ghost, and headed into the light.

It has cashed in its chips, bought the farm, and paid its last dues.

It has failed its last saving throw.

Its birth certificate has reached its expiration date.

It has kicked the bucket, turned up its toes, and hopped the twig.

The race card is dead.

D. E. A. D.

Dead.

There is no need for affirmative action programs, quotas, or set-asides. There is no need for reparations, as there's nothing left to repair. The system was repaired ages ago, and is being used avidly and effectively by all those capable of seeing what's in front of their faces. Let it be known by all that any who tries to play the race card is making excuses for his own lack of drive or initiative.

Getting elected to the top office in the nation is not easy. In the entire history of the world, only forty-four people have managed it. One of them is black.

He has achieved. He has played the game according to the rules, rather than sitting back and whining about how racist and oppressive they are. To all other blacks, I strongly suggest you go and do likewise.

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In the long run, it matters

A few days ago, I saw an article on genetics that has a bearing on the same-sex marriage movement.

Scientists have discovered mystery snippets of mammal DNA that have survived eons of evolution and yet have no apparent purpose. The finding reveals just how much we don't know about the secrets hidden in our genome and that of other animals.

Most genes change throughout evolution via mutations; useless ones eventually get weeded out of the population while the helpful modifications take hold. However, about 500 regions of our DNA - the body's instruction code made up of base pairs of molecules - have apparently remained intact throughout the history of mammalian evolution, or the past 80 million to 100 million years, basically free of mutations.

....

The researchers call these mystery snippets "ultraconserved regions," and found that they are about 300 times less likely than other regions of the genome to be lost during the course of mammalian evolution. Bejerano and his graduate student Cory McLean detailed the finding in the Oct. 2 issue of the journal Genome Research.

The fact that these segments haven't been weeded out by natural selection implies that they serve an important function in mammals. Yet mice in the lab bred to lack these DNA strands appear healthy and don't seem to be missing any vital genes.

Different genes have been noticed to mutate at different rates.  Some parts of the gene that code for haemoglobin, for example, are conserved from species to species.  On examination, they turn out to code for critical parts of the molecule. Other genes, such as histone genes, produce proteins that are intimately involved in handling DNA, and any change in the DNA sequence is very likely to break the system.  So histone proteins resemble each other very strongly even among distantly related species.

In other portions of the genome, such as the "junk DNA", mutations pile up at a much faster rate.  Because junk DNA doesn't have any function, changes in the sequence have no effect.  Over time, mutations pile up at what is considered to be the "neutral rate".  If you have two species that have diverged recently, the junk DNA will show differences that result from these accumulated mutations.

This theory says a few things about different stretches of DNA.  Cave fish have lost their eyes since their ancestors wound up in the cave.  The genes that are responsible for building eyes have been identified.  You'd expect that, since these fish don't use eyes, the genes that code for them would start mutating at the neutral rate.  Instead, mutations pile up at a slower rate.  Somehow, the proteins involved in these non-functional eyes matter. There are some random mutations that are being screened out of the population because they make their carriers les fit.  They must be serving some purpose independent of vision. 

The puzzling thing about the "ultraconserved" regions of DNA in humans (and mice, and other species) is that they don't appear to have any function.  And since mice can be bred which lack those pieces of DNA (so-called "knockout" mice -- that portion of the DNA is knocked out), we can see what difference this change makes.  It doesn't seem to make any difference.  So why these sections of DNA should be hanging around for millions of years becomes even more puzzling.  They must be important, just not in the short run.

The Supreme Courts of the States of Massachusetts and Delaware Connecticut have decided to order the legal acceptance of same-sex marriage. California's Supreme Court has done the same, and same-sex marriage advocates are fighting tooth and nail against a Constitutional amendment to undo this decision. At least a couple of countries in Europe have legalized same-sex marriage.  

Advocates of same-sex marriage challenge opponents to produce a smoking gun.  They ask, "How will legalized same-sex marriage affect your marriage?" The point is, when same-sex marriage is made legal in a State or country, civilization doesn't immediately collapse. The sky doesn't fall, the seas don't rise, the mountains don't belch forth volcanic clouds, plagues of locusts don't ravage the land. To all appearances, the health of the society is unaffected.

Yet the number of societies that have historically supported same-sex marriage is vanishingly small. It's hard to find any legal code allowing for it.  Religious law doesn't support it in any of the major religions.  Philosophers of the enlightenment did not advocate same-sex marriage.  Given this lack, I'm inclined to wonder if it's more than just coincidence.  Maybe societies that support same-sex marriage are less fit in the long run than societies that don't.  Like the ultraconserved regions of DNA in animals, you can eliminate the laws against same-sex marriage in a society and no adverse change is immediately apparent.  But in the long run, we may wish we'd retained them.

Tags: marriage  
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The Hypocrisy Gambit

With his announcement that he's selected Sarah Palin as his running mate, John McCain has seized sente.  In the game of go, sente is a move which the opponent must respond to.  Obama, the Democratic Party, and their willing accomplices in the media have to come up with a response.

Their response has been to double down on the hypocrisy gambit -- finding anything in the Republican position, real or imagined, that can be construed as in any way hypocritical.

Take, for example, one of the very first talking points to surface after Palin was announced:  her lack of experience.  She's the governor of Alaska, and before that, she was the mayor of a small town.  (Is a small town really any easier to handle than a big city?)  On the surface, the Democrats appear to be lining up for a battle of experience vs. experience.  One level down, however, the argument is one of hypocrisy.  Republicans make all kinds of fuss over the Democrats' lack of experience, but lack of experience on their side is somehow OK.

One argument mentioned by Dennis Prager (made by Sally Quinn at the link he provides) is:
She is the mother of five children, one of them a four-month-old with Down Syndrome. Her first priority has to be her children. When the phone rings at three in the morning and one of her children is really sick what choice will she make?
Dennis is puzzled because one would think a feminist would be thrilled to see a woman going after the job of Vice President. No one on the left complains when a leftist woman leaves her kids with a nanny to go after high-level positions, so why complain when Sarah Palin does it?  The answer is, the Left is holding the Right to the standards they claim to espouse. (Or at least they are claiming to -- I suspect if that argument fails to gain any traction, they'll look for another.)

A third argument has to do with the pregnancy of Palin's daughter.  If this had happened in a leftist family, there'd be much less fuss made over it, or expected in the media.  The daughter could abort, and it would be a woman exercising her freedom of reproductive choice.  Or she could move in with her boyfriend (or girlfriend) (or both) and it would be celebrated as an "alternative lifestyle".  But conservatives advocate standards, and any deviation from those standards is always called "hypocrisy", never "being human and failing to live up to high standards".   Here, we have the Left assuming the Palin family, and indeed, the entire pro-life movement, acts like the caricatures dreamed up by the Left.  Upon hearing of Bristol's pregnancy out of wedlock, they imagine the instant response is to drag her out to the city gates and stone her to death.  Well, maybe just kick her out into the street and erase every mention of her from their lives.  For a pro-life, conservative Christian to love and support anyone who has strayed from the straight and narrow must be hypocrisy.

Expect to see more of this sort of argument.  Expect accusations of double standards to be leveled.  Expect critical distinctions to be blurred, in an effort to make this argument more credible.

We'll need to be very clear and very precise in order to counter these accusations.

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Calls for freedom

A recent article here at Townhall.com framed the debate over evolution in terms of "academic freedom". This got me to thinking.
 
One of the problems with framing the argument in terms of "academic freedom" is that it implicitly makes that value the highest value, without regard for other values like goodness or truth.  "Freedom" without regard for what is good implies freedom to do what is bad.  "Freedom" without respect for truth is freedom to lie. 
 
In a comment, I drew a comparison.
 
Opponents of same-sex marriage fear social freedom.
Our freedom to think and consider more than one option is part of what has given America her competitive edge in the international marketplace of ideas,” said biology scientist Caroline Crocker to the Louisiana House Committee on Education. "The current denial of academic freedom rights for those who are judged politically incorrect may put this in jeopardy.”
Well, in the same way, the California Supreme Court has ruled that people have freedom to consider more than one option in marriage, and granted marriage freedom rights to those who are judged politically incorrect.
 
The dispute between evolution and Intelligent Design is framed as an attempt to deny academic freedom. The dispute between traditional marriage and same-sex marriage is framed as an attempt to deny social freedom.  (This is not the only argument made, but it's at the heart of many arguments.)  It seems to me, if you're going to use "academic freedom" to get your way in one venue, you open the doors to the use of "social freedom" for people who are trying to get their way in another venue.
 
One reason why this appeal to "freedom" – and equivalently, "justice", "fairness", and "civil rights" is that it sidesteps the hard work involved in making and addressing the more telling arguments.  And frankly, making these arguments is a lot of work. 
 
Any explanation of why same-sex marriage is a bad thing will rely on one of two approaches:

1) An authority (in this case, God) says so.
2) A long, involved, easily ignored, easily misinterpreted, easily distorted sociological explanation which 90% of your audience will fall asleep in the middle of.

Unfortunately, evolution finds itself in the same position. The explanation of why it's the right answer is either:

1) An authority (in this case, science) says so.
2) A long, involved, easily ignored, easily misinterpreted, easily distorted scientific explanation which 90% of your audience will fall asleep in the middle of.
It's easier to appeal to emotions in either argument.  That's why you'll see lots of name-calling on both sides of both arguments.  You'll also see appeals to authority, and appeals to feel-good terms like "academic freedom" and "social freedom". 
 
They're not going away.  They're just too easy to fall back on.
 
But here's a deal.
You can have "academic freedom" for the "alternatives" to evolution, if you're willing to grant "social freedom" for the "alternatives" to marriage. 
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Same-Sex marriage

(Copied from my piece at Men's News Daily.)
 
....one comment, where someone referred to marriage as a “magic word”, got me to thinking, and to asking a question no one else seems to ask very often:

Why should a society have an institution like marriage in the first place?

When I proposed that question, the first answer I got was another question:  “Do you have any idea how hard it is to raise a child when you’re a single parent?”

Aha!  It’s about children.  If you’re entering into a marriage, it’s for the sake of any children that may issue.

The next sound I heard was a bit of back-pedaling, and a statement that childcare was part of the reason for marriage.  After all, if we consider it purely as an institution focused on children, it becomes a lot harder to justify same-sex marriages.

What about other reasons?

Well, another person mentioned inheritance.  Marriage provides clear rules of inheritance.  But then so does having kids, and so does having a will.   If you want someone to inherit your property when you die, you can arrange it without combining two lives into one.

Love and commitment are frequently mentioned criteria.  But you can love whomever you wish.  You can love more than one whomever.  You can move in to a building together and form a commune.  You can make public statements of commitment, and invite friends to witness, and have a party, and make a big to-do over it.  Why do you need a to tell a bureaucrat at the hall of records you love this or that person?  He’s not going to send you any wedding presents.

Child care?  Sharing of household duties?  Sharing of resources?  Our culture has all kinds of legal mechanisms for this sort of thing without requiring that people join their lives together.  Day care center and school staff don’t have to marry the parents of their charges — it’s enough to have a binding contract for services.  If you want to build a support structure around the parents of a child, where resources can be shared, the family could form a corporation.  That takes care of community property, and inheritance.

Marriage is more than just love and a ceremony of commitment.  It’s more than a way of sharing resources and labor.  It’s even more than building a structure to raise the next generation.  There is a magic inherent in marriage that people seem determined to ignore.  There are religious roots.

A big clue lies in a special privilege extended to married couples — neither member of a married couple can be compelled to testify against the other in a court of law.

This is an amazing privilege.  It’s very rare in our society.  I can think of three other areas where such a privilege exists: doctor-patient, lawyer-client, and priest-penitent.  And even these only apply during communications that take place while the doctor, lawyer, or priest are engaged in their profession with their clients.  Lawyer-client privilege doesn’t cover remarks I make in a casual conversation with a friend who happens to practice law.  But a spouse is never off duty in this regard.  Everything that passes between a husband and wife is privileged, and none of it can be compelled in a court of law.

Why create a special relationship in the law, and endow it with this kind of power?

In the Bible, and in other religions, marriage combines two lives into one.  In many senses, man and wife become “one flesh”.   If we take this seriously, we realize that compelling a man to testify against his wife is the same as compelling the wife to testify against herself.  Marriage is a religious and spiritual union of two individuals, far beyond anything mere law can achieve.

A society either believes this and acts accordingly, or it doesn’t.

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Oil and Energy

The price of gasoline has climbed over four dollars per gallon where I live, and seems ready to continue to climb.   So have the prices of food, and anything that has to be trucked or flown from where it's made to where it's sold.  And so have people's blood pressure.
 
We hear lots of calls for energy independence, and lately we're starting to focus on approaches besides drilling for more oil.  Nuclear power is an option.
 
One option we really ought to consider is solar power.  However, unlike most of the Greenies who dream of covering every rooftop with solar cells, I'd vote for the solar power satellite option.  The solar constant is roughly 1.36 kilowatts per square meter.  If we assume a power conversion efficiency of 10%, each square meter of solar panels will generate some 136 watts of electric power.  Every square mile generates 340 megawatts of power. Since sunlight in geosynchronous orbit is available pretty close to 24/7, each square kilometer of panel generates some 8 million KWH of electricity per day, or just under 3 billion KWH per year.
 
According to Wikipedia, the US consumes some 3.8 million GWH per year.  (One GWH is a million KWH.)  The 3 billion KWH per year generated by that square mile of solar panels is 3000 GWH per year.  This is just over three quarters of a percent of the national consumption of electricity, but we can always add more panels. 
 
Increase the size of the panel to ten miles on a side, and we increase the electricity generated a hundred-fold.  A ten-mile square panel will generate three quarters of the electricity we use.  Twenty miles on a side, and it produces three times the electricity we were using in 2005. 100 miles on a side, and we're up to 75 GWH per year -- about four times what the entire planet used in 2005. And a 100 mile square is tiny.  Satellites in geosynchronous orbit are spaced three degrees of arc apart.  That works out to a separation of a little under 1200 miles. There's lots of room for a really big satellite.  (Although it might be best to have several smaller ones, to guard against accident or other failure modes.)
 
Now, how do we get all these solar cells up into orbit?  It costs a fortune to boost stuff into orbit – some ten thousand dollars a pound.  Jerry Pournelle has estimated we could build and orbit enough power satellites to make the US energy independent for less than the cost of one year of the Iraq War – call it a hundred billion dollars.  But there's a way to lower the cost, and which would yield enormous other benefits as well.  This article at Tech Central Station proposes an "Erie Canal for the 21st Century". 
 
...like the Erie Canal, a space elevator would be more than just a testament to good old-fashion American ingenuity and know-how. It would have broad, practical economic and political ramifications. For instance, just as the Erie Canal lowered the cost of shipping a ton of flour from $120 to less than $6, a space elevator could similarly open up space by radically reducing the price of hauling the equipment and supplies into orbit. Today, it costs anywhere between $10,000 and $20,000 to launch a single pound of material into space. With a space elevator, replacing and updating the communication and satellite infrastructure upon which modern society is now so dependent would be fast, inexpensive and easy.
It has been estimated that a space elevator can be built for $12 billion. It is a large amount of money to be sure, but so too was the Erie Canal.
Assuming a reasonable adjustment for cost overruns and bureaucracy, let's call it $120 billion. Once it's built and working, the cost of lifting people and equipment into orbit would plummet.  I once calculated the cost of electricity needed to boost something into orbit, if we could use all the energy for lifting only payload.  It was about 25¢ per pound.  Since some fraction of the power used will have to go toward lifting the elevator itself, it won't be that low, but even $10 per pound is cheap compared to current rates.  And such a drop in price would make installing a solar power satellite a lot cheaper.
 
And when we convert from using oil to using electricity, or electrically produced synthetic fuels, or other sources of energy, we may have to restrain our urge to gloat when OPEC no longer has any buyers for its oil.  Of course, we'll be more than happy to sell them all the electricity they need.
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Darwin's Edifice

Dinesh D'Souza has written a piece on the use of science by people like Richard Dawkins to support their atheism.  Dawkins is a brilliant scientist, allows his religion to get in the way of his reasoning.  Dawkins is a member of the class I call "devout Atheists".  These are people who know, as a matter of religious faith, that there is no God, and religious faith is vain.   In support of his faith, Dawkins is happy to send out press gangs to round up bits of science here and there, bash them over the head, and haul them off to support his cause.  Dawkins harbors a profound antipathy toward religion.  When confronted with any trace of it, he will fire away with whatever weapons he has on hand, even if they're not suited for the task.

Devastating stuff. [In Skeptic Magazine, David Sloan] Wilson examines Dawkins' central claim that religion is an obvious "delusion." On the contrary, Wilson writes, religion is in general more adaptive for human communities than atheism. "On average, religious believers are more prosocial than non-believers, feel better about themselves, use their time more constructively, and engage in long-term planning, rather than gratifying their impulsive desires...They report being more happy, active, sociable, involved and excited."

Now he tells us. Essentially this evolutionary biologist is confessing that in his recent work he has ventured to write about subjects in which he has no expert knowledge. When Dawkins tackles history, philosophy and theology, he usually makes a fool of himself. Not that his atheist admirers recognize this: many of them are even bigger fools. But it is Dawkins who is their leader, and that's why writers like Wilson and I take the trouble to point out his blunders. As I put it during the Cal Tech debate, "This is what happens when you let a biologist leave the lab."

In effect, it seems religion is good for societies, and societies that adhere to good religions are more "fit" in a Darwinian sense.  They survive better, they adapt better, and they outlast societies with bad religion.

But this sword cuts both ways.  There are people arguing against Dawkins and his allies who allow their antipathy to the very concept of evolution to send them over the edge.  Their critiques quickly wander away from anything resembling a reasoned discussion and into an anti-science diatribe.  Unfortunately, these diatribes are based in subject about which the critics have no expert knowledge.  Arguments, for example, declaring that evolution violates the second law of thermodynamics, only serve to highlight the arguer's ignorance of science.

One could easily say, "This is what happens when you let a non-biologist mess around in the lab."
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Open Letter to an Interrogator

I've been having an argument with an interrogator who turns out to be really lousy at making his case. In general, I agree with him about torture. Where he loses me is his insistence that torture never works.

I finally just wrote an open letter to him.


Hi there!

This is the Evil One, with an open letter for (or at least about) you.

Since you’ve declared me evil, and declared that I “support torture”, I really don’t expect this letter prompt you to attempt a civilized discussion, or to make any impact on you at all. I believe that you, with your declaration, have set about to define yourself as holding the moral high ground, and absolve yourself from mounting a reasoned defense of your case. I don’t blame you – thinking is hard work, and it takes practice.

This letter is really for the spectators. I intend to lay out my case for the dark side and let readers judge for themselves. On the off chance that you care to reply, I’m leaving comments open.

For my part, I don’t think you’re evil, merely foolish. I believe you when you say you hate torture, but I believe the arguments you have been making hurt your case and make it more likely that people will be tortured in the future. As good as your motives are, you lack wisdom.

First, let it be noted that for the most part, I agree with what you write. I merely believe that you carry your argument to extremes, and this, as I’ve mentioned, hurts the very cause you are fighting to promote.

I have two major objections to the arguments you raise against torture: silly definitions and your “utilitarian argument”.

1) Silly definitions

First, you define torture in a manner that is silly, useless, and which actually demeans real victims of torture. In your comment here, you define torture as “Any physical or mental coercion. Any.”

By my reading, this definition includes a huge number of acts which I don’t consider torture. A parent who puts his child on a “time-out” is coercing that child to observe the “time-out”, otherwise the child would not observe it. A police officer who pulls over a motorist for a traffic infraction is coercing that motorist – he doesn’t pull over because of his love of stopping and chatting with random police officers. An interrogator questioning a detainee is forcing that detainee to stay in the room with him, or at least at the detention facility. I doubt that, if given a free, un-coerced choice, that detainee would remain at the detention center.

Indeed, I can’t imagine any society that can function without some form of coercion to enforce whatever laws it deems necessary. Indeed, I don’t see how anyone can interrogate a person unless he can coerce that person to hang around long enough to be interrogated. So when you offer a definition of “torture” that forces me to choose between any sort of working civil order and a Hobbesian anarchy, I guess I have to stand on the side of “torture”.

You have introduced, at least by implication, another definition of “torture”. On several occasions, you have, in effect, challenged people with: “how would you like it?"

If you are willing to have it done to yourself, or your loved ones, if they are suspected/accused, then, just maybe, you have a morally defensible (though disgusting) position.

link

The implied definition is, “torture” is anything you would rather not experience.

Unfortunately, while everything we both agree is torture is covered by that definition, so are any number of things we disagree over. Furthermore, so are any number of things I’m sure neither one of us would call torture. For example, in the army, you were trained to kill people. In battle, trained soldiers go into the field with the full expectation they will kill other soldiers, and with the full awareness that they may themselves be killed.

In my opinion, your definition of “torture” clouds the issue. When the same word applies equally to the tearing off of fingernails, the gouging out of eyes, and placing a child on a “time-out”, the word loses most of its meaning and all of its moral and emotional impact. When “torture” means anything as innocuous and routine as being pulled over by a traffic officer, a reasonable person may conclude “torture” isn’t that bad.

Your definition of “torture” also insults everyone who has been subject to real torture. By lumping the treatment Senator McCain received at the Hanoi Hilton together with routine treatment of prisoners here in the States, you cheapen McCain’s experience.

Now, it’s entirely possible that I’ve completely misinterpreted your definition of “torture”, and you do not intend to include every form of coercion. However, when I’ve given my take on your definition in the past, you have declined to either clarify or withdraw it.

I assume you stand by it, and what I infer from it. If you don’t, comments are open.

I don’t have a cut-and-dried definition of “torture”.

I note the United States Code defines “torture” in the following way:

Section 2340. Definitions

As used in this chapter -

  1. "torture" means an act committed by a person acting under the color of law specifically intended to inflict severe physical or mental pain or suffering (other than pain or suffering incidental to lawful sanctions) upon another person within his custody or physical control;
  2. "severe mental pain or suffering" means the prolonged mental harm caused by or resulting from
    1. the intentional infliction or threatened infliction of severe physical pain or suffering;
    2. the administration or application, or threatened administration or application, of mind-altering substances or other procedures calculated to disrupt profoundly the senses or the personality;
    3. the threat of imminent death; or
    4. the threat that another person will imminently be subjected to death, severe physical pain or suffering, or the administration or application of mind-altering substances or other procedures calculated to disrupt profoundly the senses or personality;

Now this definition suffers from a problem you were trying to avoid with your definition: What do we mean by “severe”? While we’re at it, how long is “prolonged”, how soon is “imminent”, and how profoundly is “profoundly”? Any reasonable definition, used by reasonable people in the real world is ultimately going to be a process of line-drawing. You have chosen to draw your line such that “severe” means “any”, “prolonged” is “any”, “profoundly” is “any”, and “imminently” is “at any time in the foreseeable future”. I don’t think this is a useful definition.

Now, in the real world, there are a variety of techniques that have been approved for use by interrogators, including the notorious “water-boarding”. So far, red-hot pincers, bamboo slivers under nails, and bastinado are not on the “approved” list. They’re on the “yes, it’s torture” side of the line, while the “attention slap”, extreme temperatures, prolonged standing, and water-boarding are on the “no it’s not” side.

My take on the issue: I’m not sure where I draw the line between “torture” and “not torture”. Indeed, any line I draw would probably be a fuzzy one, with some things being “mostly torture” and others “only a little bit torture”. Indeed, since people differ in their sensitivity and reaction to various things, I’d probably wind up having to draw a different line for every person on the planet.

Ultimately, I believe reasonable people can disagree over where to draw the line. You apparently don’t.

2) Your “Utilitarian Argument”

You have repeatedly advanced a “utilitarian argument” against torture. [Add links] You repeatedly assert that “torture doesn’t work”. This argument fails on two counts. Firstly, utilitarian arguments are very dangerous. They’re only as good as your data.

The book “Freakonomics” made the case that liberalized abortion laws were responsible for the drop in crime rates in recent years. The children aborted are the ones that would have been more likely to grow up poor and in single-parent homes. These are the very groups that are more likely to commit crimes.

Now, John Lott writes in his book, “Freedomnomics”, argues that abortion has actually caused an increase in crime.

What is the utilitarian argument with respect to abortion? I don’t know. The final results aren’t in yet. They may never be.

The point remains, if you base your argument on a moral point on utilitarian grounds, then your morality is only as solid as your data, and you may find your utilitarian argument urges the adoption of a policy you detest, and having raised the utilitarian argument in the first place, you have no grounds to object.

Secondly, your utilitarian argument is wrong – torture does work, especially if we allow your silly definition to stand.

Interrogation can’t possibly work unless the person being interrogated is required (that is, “coerced”) to remain where the interrogator can question him. As you define “torture”, interrogation is impossible without torture.

You have taken me to task for “arguing in bad faith” because “it’s impossible to prove a negative”. Fine, I take you at your word. Your “utilitarian argument” is not provable.

Furthermore, it’s very easy to disprove. All I have to do is cite one case to show that “torture” does, at least sometimes work. And since you define “torture” in such a way that even the methods of interrogation you approve of are impossible without it, we now have absolute proof that “torture” does, in fact, work.

However, let’s now bring in reasonable people with real-world definitions of “torture”, where there is a line drawn between “torture” and “rough treatment”. (And possibly, a line between “rough treatment” and “not being nice”.) We still have cases where you concede that rough treatment, even that which crosses the line into torture, does work. It obtains information which is true.

Why? Because as I keep saying, using torture as a means of collecting information doesn't work. As a system, it fails. Someone might tell the truth, but the amount of non-truth which enters the system buries it.

There are those who pretend that's not the case. That somehow we can sift the truth from the lies; without having any troubles. That somehow the dedicated bad person, who is willing to plant bombs, bury people alive, whatever fantasy of justification the torture mongers want to trot out, will somehow break when his body is beaten, his flesh is torn, his mind is assaulted with terrors, the electrodes are supplied with current, the water rises past his nose and mouth, his bones broken, his sleep deprived, his environment changed, etc., etc., etc., ad naseam.

link

Sooner or later my honest report (assuming I break) will be lost in all the crap (all the more so if there is more than one person being tortured, the interrogators will start to manufacture corroboration; and when the story changes, so too will the false corroboration change to match it, because the answers are expected, and the source will be guided to them).

link

It obtains information which is true, “but”, you say, this information is contaminated. Under torture, you point out, a person will say anything he thinks his interrogators want to hear, in order to stop the torture. How, you ask, do we differentiate between accurate information and inaccurate?

In other words, we have three issues to consider: The effect of incentives on human behavior, the signal to noise ratio of any information obtained, and the use to which any information obtained is to be put.

First, the use. You are right in saying the use of torture would contaminate all information obtained from a subject, if the information were being used to build a legal case. The thing to remember is that the war on Jihadists is not a law enforcement action. It is a war. During war, soldiers are called on to deal with the enemy in ways police officers would never be allowed to deal with criminals. No soldier, for example, reads a captured enemy his or her Miranda rights, for example.

Information obtained through sufficiently rough treatment should, and probably would, be excluded from any criminal proceeding. However, if, somehow, rough treatment caused someone to divulge the location of a “ticking time-bomb”, this information would be used to find and disarm the bomb, or at least evacuate the area. No one would use it to arrest the bomb. (More to the point, this information would probably not be allowed in court as evidence the subject of the interrogation was involved in a conspiracy to plant and set off that bomb.)

Second: Torture is designed to create an incentive. In order to prevent or avoid torture, the subject will, in theory, change his behavior. If the change in behavior means giving up useful information, then that’s what the interrogators want. However, a problem arises when the subject doesn’t have useful information, or has a strong desire to withhold it and/or give up false information. In the face of a strong counter-incentive, we have to realize that the information we get may be false. Indeed, I recently posted a blurb about false information that had been obtained, not from torture, but in order to obtain a reward. From this, we may conclude that non-torture doesn’t work.

A point you continually gloss over is that every subject of any method of interrogation must be presumed to have a strong incentive to withhold information and to mislead interrogators. When I say you gloss over it, you argue as if information obtained from what you call torture is never checked for accuracy or consistency with information obtained from other sources. In so doing, you imply that you have access to techniques which yield zero false information. In other words, you imply your preferred techniques yield 100% signal and 0% noise.

If this is, in fact, your claim, then I don’t believe you. In fact, I have such strong doubts that any technique exists which will yield 100% signal and 0% noise that I believe anyone claiming one does is either incredibly stupid or lying.

I will give you the benefit of the doubt and assume you admit to non-zero false information rates in all known techniques of interrogation.

Therefore, using the same line of argument you use to show “torture doesn’t work”, I could “prove” that your favorite techniques don’t work. All I would have to do is highlight every piece of false information you uncover, ignore the true information, and disregard any steps you take to differentiate between the two.

Presto! Interrogation doesn’t work, and we can reassign all interrogators to the motor pool.

Now, if you were willing to discuss this topic in a reasoned fashion, we could discuss such topics as which methods of interrogation are better. Reasonable people could try to uncover which methods have what signal to noise ratios. Adults in a reasoned discussion could address questions like the following:

  • Do your preferred methods have a materially higher ratio than the methods you despise?
  • Do your preferred methods yield information as quickly as the methods you despise? (Sometimes information may be needed in a hurry – e.g., the “ticking time-bomb” scenario.)
  • Do different methods of interrogation yield different sets of accurate information? (People willing to divulge certain secrets under one technique might, in theory, only divulge others under a different method.)
  • What moral price are we willing to pay for any given type of information?

And that last one is the question that you really should be asking. Your silly definition of “torture”, and you “utilitarian argument” are nothing more than ways to try to avoid dealing with the fact that sometimes we do have to choose between to bad scenarios. There isn’t always a perfectly good solution, and adults have to come to grips with that fact.

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Paul Greenberg on Rush

Paul Greenberg has weighed in on the phony outrage over Rush Limbaugh's recent statement.  Of course, anyone who has listened to Rush Limbaugh for any length of time knows he supports the troops.  All of them.

And part of this support includes a certain disdain for those who lie about their service and steal the honor and credibility of those who actually did what these phony soldiers claim to have done.  (Indeed, I heard an interview on KABC radio in which a US Attorney described these soldiers -- targets of "Operation Stolen Valor" as "phonies, liars, and thieves".)

General Wesley Clark has taken up battle against Rush, and mounted an online petiiton to have Rush's show pulled from the Armed Forces Radio.

Greenberg takes Clark to task for this as well as his other rhetorical fusilades:

The general's big mistake? Instead of proving a different kind of candidate, he became just another partisan of the louder, less enduring sort. Instead of remaining above the fray, he waded into the muddy thick of it. Instead of bringing us together, he seemed intent on driving us further apart. Soon his was just one more rasping voice in the off-key chorus of presidential also-rans.

Now he's down there among the Michael Moore/Bill O'Reilly bottom-feeders. Impervious to the lessons of his last failed campaign, General Clark is now fighting it out in a kind of two-falls-out-of-three exhibition match against Rush Limbaugh. That's right: El Rushbo himself, The Mouth, the idol of the dittoheads; in short, the very personification of high-decibel, low-fact talk radio.

Ah, yes.  "High-decibel, low-fact".  He takes his share of jabs at Rush.  This has prompted a number of comments such as:

 

For every point Greenberg earns with a well-placed shot at Weasley Snark, he loses two by taking unfounded pot shots at Limbaugh. I used to be part of the "I'm a conservative, but I don't like Rush" crowd, until I actually started listening to his show. Good on Clark, but as for what he writes about Rush, he might as well be copying and pasting from Media Matters or MoveOn.Org.  (Monday, October, 15, 2007 2:11 AM)

 
Hmmm.  Let's look up Paul Greenberg.  A quick Google search turns up:

 
Paul Greenberg

Greenberg, an Arkansas Democrat-Gazette editorial page editor, doesn't repeat the familiar conservative mantra. Instead, he describes himself as ideologically unreliable. "I'm a conservative-but I try not to be a damn fool," he says. Greenberg offers a trusted perspective on national and world policy, the South, family, religion, literature, abortion, civil rights, character and virtue.

 Maybe so, but he doesn't seem to have time to listen to talk radio.
One point in his favor, though.  I have a friend who's convinced the Media Matters take on Rush is Gospel.  When I cite Greenberg's article to him, his style will make it slightly harder for him to dismiss the man as "just a conservative hack".

 

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Inter-species embryos?

Bouncing off Terence Jeffrey's latest piece...

 
The questions with inter-species embryos are two-fold, one scientific and one moral.


The scientific question asks what we can do.  What are the mechanisms that govern growth and development?  How flexible are they?  How much can we tinker without breaking the mechanism?

 

The moral question asks what we should do.  How much "human" can we mix with "other" and still have a human?  Do we draw the line at some percentage? Do we calculate by number of genes or by the weight of the relevant tissues? Do we give, say, brain tissue, a higher weight factor than we give liver tissue, or hair?


Do we use a "one-drop" rule?  If so, which way?  Does "one drop" of non-human tissue make an embryo completely non-human, with no rights?  Or if a fragment of human DNA is injected into a fruit fly embryo, do we have to give the resulting fly the right to vote?  (On the plus side, it's very unlikely to live for 18 years.)

 

The British government has at least tried to come to grips with the issue, and quickly found out how thorny it is.  We all need to come to some sort of agreement about these issues because I'm very sure about one thing:

 

Someone will produce inter-species embryos, and some of those embryos will eventually be allowed to grow to maturity.

 

The technology to accomplish this is getting cheaper and easier to use every year.  What may take the resources of a US or British government lab today may be possible in a Chinese or North Korean government lab next year, and in an Iranian lab the year after.  And not too long after that, it'll be cheap enough that a moderately well-to-do individual would be able to assemble it.

 

It's going to happen.

 

It would be useful to have some idea what we're going to do about it before it does.

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As Basra goes...

...So goes Iraq?

Opinions about the effect of a withdrawal-by-timetable according to the Washington Post and Real Clear Politics.
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Abandoned in Basra

Abandoned in Basra:

According to this article in the Times Online, 91 Iraqi interpreters are in grave danger.

The British forces are pulling out of Basra, and the interpreters are being left behind.

 

Britain was accused yesterday of abandoning 91 Iraqi interpreters and their families to face persecution and possible death when British forces withdraw.

The Times has learnt that the Government has ignored personal appeals from senior army officers in Basra to relax asylum regulations and make special arrangements for Iraqis whose loyal services have put their lives at risk.

...

There is mounting evidence of a campaign by militants to target “collaborators” as British Forces prepare to leave. Hundreds of interpreters and other locally engaged staff working for the coalition have been kidnapped, tortured and murdered over the past four years.

The Iraqis who have risked their lives, and their families' lives, are being given the short end of the stick. 

 Nasty, British, and short.

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Blogging While Female?

One of the things mentioned at the Yearly Kos conference was how all of the "superstar bloggers" seem to be male.  Women, and women's issues, seem to take a definite back seat.

 

A panel called "Blogging While Female," held Saturday morning, was an aberration -- an overflow room of about 75, mostly women, a few of them minorities.

"How many of the women in the audience blog?" asked a panelist.

Nearly three-fourths of those present raised their hands.

"How many of you get harassed?"

The hands stayed up. They complain of being harassed online for their views on issues such as abortion rights.


Harassed online?  For their views on issues?

 
You mean people out there don't agree with them?

 
And they're crass enough to tell them so?


Poor babies!

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